Honolulu County vs. Hawaii
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2017
Introduction
Honolulu County:
2017 Population = 988,650
2017 Percent of State = 69.3%
Hawaii:
2017 Population = 1,427,538
2017 Percent of State = 0.4%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Honolulu County with comparisons to Hawaii and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Honolulu County vs. Hawaii's population growth over 1969-2017. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 1.
Figure 1 traces Honolulu County's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Honolulu County's population rose from 603,438 in 1969 to 988,650 in 2017, for a net gain of 385,212, or 63.8%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 2.
Figure 2 traces Hawaii's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Hawaii's population rose from 743,000 in 1969 to 1,427,538 in 2017, for a net gain of 684,538, or 92.1%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Honolulu County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Hawaii, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Honolulu County's overall population growth was 63.8% over 1969-2017 trailed Hawaii's increase of 92.1%, and outpaced the United States' increase of 61.8%.
Population as a Percent of the Hawaii Total: 1969-2017
Population as a Percent of the Hawaii Total: 1969-2017
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the population growth of Honolulu County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to Hawaii's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than Hawaii's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Honolulu County's population totaled 81.2% of Hawaii's population, while in 2017 it comprised 69.3% thereby yielding a -12.0% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2017 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2017
vs.
1969
-11.96%
=
69.26%
-
81.22%
 
   
Honolulu County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Honolulu County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Figure 5.
Figure 5 shows the short-run pattern of Honolulu County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2017. The average annual percent change for the entire 48-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Honolulu County's population grew at an annual rate of 1.04% over 1970-2017. The county recorded its highest growth in 1972 (5.02%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1999 (-0.90%). In 2017, Honolulu County's population declined by -0.41%
Honolulu County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Honolulu County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Honolulu County's population since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2017.
During the 1970s, Honolulu County's annual population growth rate averaged 2.25%. It averaged 0.99% during the 1980s, 0.56% in the 1990s, 0.71% throughout the 2000s, and 0.59% thus far this decade (2010 to 2017).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Honolulu County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Hawaii and the nation. As the chart reveals, Honolulu County's average annual population growth amounted to less than Hawaii's average in the 1970s (2.25% vs. 2.49%), recorded under Hawaii's average in the 1980s (0.99% vs. 1.43%), trailed Hawaii's average throughout the 1990s (0.56% vs. 1.01%), trailed Hawaii's average during the 2000s (0.71% vs. 1.07%), and trailed Hawaii's average over the 8 year period of the last decade, 2010-2017 (0.59% vs. 0.73%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Honolulu County outperformed the nation in the 1970s (2.25% vs. 1.10%), outpaced the nation during the 1980s (0.99% vs. 0.95%), trailed the nation throughout the 1990s (0.56% vs. 1.23%), posted below the nation throughout the 2000s (0.71% vs. 0.95%), and lagged the nation over 2010-2017 (0.59% vs. 0.75%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.04
2.25
0.99
0.56
0.71
0.59
-0.41
 
1.37
2.49
1.43
1.01
1.07
0.73
-0.08
 
1.01
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.75
0.72
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Honolulu County:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
603,438
100.0
N
81.22
1970
 
623,756
103.4
3.37
81.76
1971
 
633,043
104.9
1.49
79.97
1972
 
664,830
110.2
5.02
81.26
1973
 
683,772
113.3
2.85
81.22
1974
 
698,033
115.7
2.09
81.34
1975
 
707,866
117.3
1.41
80.89
1976
 
716,911
118.8
1.28
80.34
1977
 
734,962
121.8
2.52
80.26
1978
 
740,505
122.7
0.75
79.73
1979
 
753,428
124.9
1.75
79.30
1980
 
763,820
126.6
1.38
78.93
1981
 
767,573
127.2
0.49
78.47
1982
 
776,075
128.6
1.11
78.09
1983
 
789,097
130.8
1.68
77.92
1984
 
797,791
132.2
1.10
77.61
1985
 
804,294
133.3
0.82
77.36
1986
 
810,444
134.3
0.76
77.06
1987
 
818,447
135.6
0.99
76.64
1988
 
824,072
136.6
0.69
76.32
1989
 
831,337
137.8
0.88
75.95
1990
 
838,534
139.0
0.87
75.31
1991
 
850,510
140.9
1.43
74.82
1992
 
863,959
143.2
1.58
74.57
1993
 
870,348
144.2
0.74
74.21
1994
 
878,591
145.6
0.95
73.98
1995
 
881,399
146.1
0.32
73.64
1996
 
883,443
146.4
0.23
73.39
1997
 
886,711
146.9
0.37
73.18
1998
 
886,909
147.0
0.02
72.98
1999
 
878,906
145.6
-0.90
72.62
2000
 
876,629
145.3
-0.26
72.24
2001
 
882,755
146.3
0.70
72.01
2002
 
890,473
147.6
0.87
71.83
2003
 
894,311
148.2
0.43
71.48
2004
 
907,997
150.5
1.53
71.30
2005
 
918,181
152.2
1.12
71.03
2006
 
926,954
153.6
0.96
70.77
2007
 
925,335
153.3
-0.17
70.33
2008
 
933,680
154.7
0.90
70.08
2009
 
943,177
156.3
1.02
70.04
2010
 
956,193
158.5
1.38
70.11
2011
 
966,514
160.2
1.08
70.12
2012
 
976,299
161.8
1.01
70.10
2013
 
985,734
163.4
0.97
70.01
2014
 
989,438
164.0
0.38
69.79
2015
 
993,716
164.7
0.43
69.67
2016
 
992,761
164.5
-0.10
69.49
2017
 
988,650
163.8
-0.41
69.26
Source: Calculations by the Hawaii Regional Economic Analysis Project (HI-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Hawaii:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
743,000
100.0
N
0.37
1970
 
762,920
102.7
2.68
0.37
1971
 
791,580
106.5
3.76
0.38
1972
 
818,104
110.1
3.35
0.39
1973
 
841,851
113.3
2.90
0.40
1974
 
858,121
115.5
1.93
0.40
1975
 
875,052
117.8
1.97
0.41
1976
 
892,335
120.1
1.98
0.41
1977
 
915,749
123.3
2.62
0.42
1978
 
928,816
125.0
1.43
0.42
1979
 
950,050
127.9
2.29
0.42
1980
 
967,710
130.2
1.86
0.43
1981
 
978,195
131.7
1.08
0.43
1982
 
993,780
133.8
1.59
0.43
1983
 
1,012,717
136.3
1.91
0.43
1984
 
1,027,922
138.3
1.50
0.44
1985
 
1,039,698
139.9
1.15
0.44
1986
 
1,051,762
141.6
1.16
0.44
1987
 
1,067,917
143.7
1.54
0.44
1988
 
1,079,827
145.3
1.12
0.44
1989
 
1,094,588
147.3
1.37
0.44
1990
 
1,113,491
149.9
1.73
0.45
1991
 
1,136,754
153.0
2.09
0.45
1992
 
1,158,613
155.9
1.92
0.45
1993
 
1,172,838
157.9
1.23
0.45
1994
 
1,187,536
159.8
1.25
0.45
1995
 
1,196,854
161.1
0.78
0.45
1996
 
1,203,755
162.0
0.58
0.45
1997
 
1,211,640
163.1
0.66
0.44
1998
 
1,215,233
163.6
0.30
0.44
1999
 
1,210,300
162.9
-0.41
0.43
2000
 
1,213,519
163.3
0.27
0.43
2001
 
1,225,948
165.0
1.02
0.43
2002
 
1,239,613
166.8
1.11
0.43
2003
 
1,251,154
168.4
0.93
0.43
2004
 
1,273,569
171.4
1.79
0.43
2005
 
1,292,729
174.0
1.50
0.44
2006
 
1,309,731
176.3
1.32
0.44
2007
 
1,315,675
177.1
0.45
0.44
2008
 
1,332,213
179.3
1.26
0.44
2009
 
1,346,717
181.3
1.09
0.44
2010
 
1,363,817
183.6
1.27
0.44
2011
 
1,378,323
185.5
1.06
0.44
2012
 
1,392,772
187.5
1.05
0.44
2013
 
1,408,038
189.5
1.10
0.45
2014
 
1,417,710
190.8
0.69
0.44
2015
 
1,426,320
192.0
0.61
0.44
2016
 
1,428,683
192.3
0.17
0.44
2017
 
1,427,538
192.1
-0.08
0.44
Source: Calculations by the Hawaii Regional Economic Analysis Project (HI-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,338,421
153.7
0.84
2011
 
311,644,280
154.8
0.75
2012
 
313,993,272
156.0
0.75
2013
 
316,234,505
157.1
0.71
2014
 
318,622,525
158.3
0.76
2015
 
321,039,839
159.5
0.76
2016
 
323,405,935
160.7
0.74
2017
 
325,719,178
161.8
0.72
Source: Calculations by the Hawaii Regional Economic Analysis Project (HI-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2019. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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